Final Score: Phillies 6 - Nationals 2
Friday, August 15, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
69-52 Rating 1548
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Nationals
49-72 Rating 1441
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 501 459
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 121 121
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.5
Win percentage 57% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 39%