Final Score: Orioles 5 - Phillies 1
Wednesday, August 6, 2025 at 12:35 PM ET

Orioles @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
51-63 Rating 1501
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Phillies
65-48 Rating 1549
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Phillies
All-time wins 40 35
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 5.1 4.6
Last meeting 0 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Phillies
Games played 114 113
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.7
Avg runs conceded 5.1 4.0
Win percentage 45% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 65%