Final Score: Blue Jays 9 - Orioles 8
Wednesday, July 30, 2025 at 12:35 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Orioles
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 397 | 344 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 109 | 108 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 5.0 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 51% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 20
4-16
@ Baltimore Orioles
Jul 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 15
4-11
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Jul 24, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
vs New York Yankees
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs New York Yankees
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs New York Yankees
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
Orioles
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 29, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 20
16-4
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 28, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 15
11-4
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 26, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 18
18-0
vs Colorado Rockies
Jul 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jul 21, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10