Final Score: Yankees 1 - Blue Jays 4
Monday, July 21, 2025 at 7:07 PM ET

Yankees @ Blue Jays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
55-44 Rating 1542
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.1
Blue Jays
58-41 Rating 1528
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Blue Jays
All-time wins 400 332
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.8 4.4
Last meeting 5 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Blue Jays
Games played 99 99
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.4
Win percentage 56% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 69%