Final Score: Guardians 7 - Rays 1
Friday, September 5, 2025 at 7:35 PM ET

Guardians @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
69-70 Rating 1502
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Rays
71-69 Rating 1516
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Rays
All-time wins 111 86
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.1
Last meeting 2 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Rays
Games played 139 140
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.6
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.1
Win percentage 50% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 54%