Final Score: Guardians 3 - Rays 2
Saturday, September 6, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Guardians @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
70-70 Rating 1504
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Rays
71-70 Rating 1514
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Rays
All-time wins 112 86
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.1
Last meeting 7 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Rays
Games played 140 141
Avg runs scored 3.9 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.1
Win percentage 50% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 53%