Final Score: Nationals 2 - Cubs 1
Saturday, September 6, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET

Nationals @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Nationals
56-84 Rating 1438
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +1.2
Cubs
81-60 Rating 1530
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Nationals Cubs
All-time wins 335 320
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 4.1
Last meeting 5 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Nationals Cubs
Games played 140 141
Avg runs scored 4.2 5.0
Avg runs conceded 5.5 4.1
Win percentage 40% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 63%