Final Score: Marlins 2 - Nationals 5
Tuesday, September 2, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
65-73 Rating 1471
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.2
Nationals
54-83 Rating 1435
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 270 260
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.4
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 138 137
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 5.0 5.5
Win percentage 47% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 39%