Final Score: Blue Jays 7 - Marlins 6
Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET
Blue Jays @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Blue Jays | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 20 | 25 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 5.0 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 2 |
| Stat | Blue Jays | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 129 | 128 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 47% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 46% |
Recent Results
Blue Jays
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Aug 18, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Texas Rangers
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
vs Texas Rangers
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 16
14-2
vs Texas Rangers
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Chicago Cubs
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
Marlins
vs Toronto Blue Jays
Aug 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 20, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 19, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs St. Louis Cardinals
Aug 18, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 16, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 13
4-9
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 17
13-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4