Final Score: Marlins 1 - Red Sox 2
Friday, August 15, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
58-63 Rating 1474
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.7
Red Sox
66-56 Rating 1519
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Red Sox
All-time wins 16 34
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 5.9
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Red Sox
Games played 121 122
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.3
Win percentage 48% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 64%