Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Astros 7
Monday, August 11, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET
Red Sox @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Red Sox | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 52 | 48 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average runs | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 1 |
| Stat | Red Sox | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 119 | 118 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 59% |
Recent Results
Red Sox
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ San Diego Padres
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Kansas City Royals
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Kansas City Royals
Aug 4, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
vs Houston Astros
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Houston Astros
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Houston Astros
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Minnesota Twins
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 14
13-1
Astros
@ New York Yankees
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ New York Yankees
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ New York Yankees
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 4, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 3, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 2, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Boston Red Sox
Aug 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Washington Nationals
Jul 30, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1