Final Score: Yankees 5 - Red Sox 3
Saturday, September 13, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
82-65 Rating 1545
Form: WLLWW
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.0
Red Sox
81-67 Rating 1524
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Red Sox
All-time wins 466 443
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.8 4.7
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Red Sox
Games played 147 148
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 56% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 60%