Final Score: Red Sox 5 - Diamondbacks 10
Friday, September 5, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Red Sox @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
78-63 Rating 1527
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Arizona Diamondbacks +0.1
Diamondbacks
70-71 Rating 1511
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Diamondbacks
All-time wins 15 12
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.0 4.1
Last meeting 5 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Diamondbacks
Games played 141 141
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.8
Win percentage 55% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 52%