Final Score: Pirates 2 - Red Sox 5
Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 1:35 PM ET

Pirates @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
61-76 Rating 1470
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.8
Red Sox
75-62 Rating 1524
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Red Sox
All-time wins 13 13
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.8 4.1
Last meeting 10 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Red Sox
Games played 137 137
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.2
Win percentage 45% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 32% 60%