Final Score: Red Sox 6 - Yankees 3
Thursday, August 21, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET

Red Sox @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
68-59 Rating 1516
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.5
Yankees
69-57 Rating 1541
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Yankees
All-time wins 440 464
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.7 4.8
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Yankees
Games played 127 126
Avg runs scored 5.0 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.3
Win percentage 54% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 60%