Final Score: Orioles 6 - Red Sox 3
Monday, August 18, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Orioles @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Orioles
57-67 Rating 1505
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.4
Red Sox
68-57 Rating 1520
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Orioles Red Sox
All-time wins 391 482
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 5.0
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Orioles Red Sox
Games played 124 125
Avg runs scored 4.3 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.3
Win percentage 46% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 64%