Final Score: Orioles 4 - Astros 5
Saturday, August 16, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET
Orioles @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Orioles | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 35 | 47 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 0 |
| Stat | Orioles | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 122 | 122 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.9 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 59% |
Recent Results
Orioles
@ Houston Astros
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 14, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Seattle Mariners
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Athletics
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Athletics
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
vs Athletics
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 4, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 16
3-13
Astros
vs Baltimore Orioles
Aug 15, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 13, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 12, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 15
1-14
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 13
7-6
@ New York Yankees
Aug 10, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ New York Yankees
Aug 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ New York Yankees
Aug 8, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Miami Marlins
Aug 4, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2