Final Score: Yankees 6 - Rays 4
Wednesday, August 20, 2025 at 7:35 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
68-57 Rating 1539
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.1
Rays
61-65 Rating 1506
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 273 207
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.8 4.1
Last meeting 13 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 125 126
Avg runs scored 5.2 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.2
Win percentage 54% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 51%