Final Score: Pirates 10 - Red Sox 3
Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Pirates @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
60-76 Rating 1467
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.9
Red Sox
75-61 Rating 1526
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Red Sox
All-time wins 12 13
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.6 4.2
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Red Sox
Games played 136 136
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.1
Win percentage 44% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 31% 61%