Final Score: Yankees 7 - Astros 8
Wednesday, September 3, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
77-61 Rating 1544
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.1
Astros
76-63 Rating 1533
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Astros
All-time wins 56 48
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.3 4.0
Last meeting 7 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Astros
Games played 138 139
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.1
Win percentage 56% 55%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 58%