Final Score: Astros 9 - Orioles 8
Saturday, August 23, 2025 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
71-58 Rating 1538
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.1
Orioles
59-69 Rating 1506
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Orioles
All-time wins 50 36
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.2 4.2
Last meeting 10 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Orioles
Games played 129 128
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.9
Win percentage 55% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 48%