Final Score: Tigers 6 - Guardians 3
Thursday, October 2, 2025 at 3:08 PM ET

Tigers @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Tigers
88-76 Rating 1505
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.4
Guardians
89-75 Rating 1527
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Tigers Guardians
All-time wins 440 451
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.6
Last meeting 1 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Tigers Guardians
Games played 164 164
Avg runs scored 4.6 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.3 4.0
Win percentage 54% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 55%