Final Score: Tigers 1 - Guardians 6
Wednesday, October 1, 2025 at 1:08 PM ET
Tigers @ Guardians
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Tigers | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 440 | 450 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Tigers | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 163 | 163 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 4.0 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 55% |
Recent Results
Tigers
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Boston Red Sox
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Cleveland Guardians
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 11
1-10
Guardians
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 30, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 17
9-8
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Detroit Tigers
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Minnesota Twins
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Minnesota Twins
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
@ Minnesota Twins
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0