Final Score: Diamondbacks 4 - Padres 12
Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:10 PM ET
Diamondbacks @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 247 | 232 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 5 |
| Stat | Diamondbacks | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 161 | 161 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 64% |
Recent Results
Diamondbacks
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ San Diego Padres
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 8
0-8
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
Padres
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 7
7-0
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 22, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Mets
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ New York Mets
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4