Final Score: Padres 3 - White Sox 4
Friday, September 19, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET

Padres @ White Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
83-70 Rating 1536
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
64%
36%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +1.2
White Sox
57-96 Rating 1389
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres White Sox
All-time wins 12 9
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 3.4 3.1
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres White Sox
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.6
Win percentage 54% 37%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 41%