Final Score: Phillies 2 - Diamondbacks 9
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
92-63 Rating 1564
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Diamondbacks
78-77 Rating 1514
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
All-time wins 92 95
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.7
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
Games played 155 155
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.9
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.8
Win percentage 59% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 53%