Final Score: Royals 2 - Phillies 8
Friday, September 12, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Royals @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
74-73 Rating 1488
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Phillies
87-60 Rating 1561
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Phillies
All-time wins 11 16
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.9 5.4
Last meeting 3 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Phillies
Games played 147 147
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.8
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.0
Win percentage 50% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 68%