Final Score: Phillies 4 - Marlins 2
Saturday, September 6, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
82-59 Rating 1555
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Marlins
65-76 Rating 1466
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 294 244
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.9 4.3
Last meeting 9 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 141 141
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.0
Win percentage 58% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 45%