Final Score: Braves 4 - Phillies 19
Thursday, August 28, 2025 at 6:45 PM ET

Braves @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Braves
61-72 Rating 1511
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.6
Phillies
76-57 Rating 1548
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Braves Phillies
All-time wins 435 397
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.2
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Braves Phillies
Games played 133 133
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.1
Win percentage 46% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 66%