Final Score: Phillies 9 - Marlins 3
Friday, September 5, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET
Phillies @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Phillies | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 293 | 244 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Phillies | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 140 | 140 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 46% |
Recent Results
Phillies
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 4, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 28, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 23
19-4
@ New York Mets
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ New York Mets
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ New York Mets
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 16
3-13
Marlins
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Washington Nationals
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ New York Mets
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ New York Mets
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 19
11-8
@ New York Mets
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 28
9-19
@ New York Mets
Aug 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: -11 · Total: 13
1-12
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 13
2-11
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1