Final Score: Phillies 4 - Marlins 5
Sunday, September 7, 2025 at 1:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
83-59 Rating 1557
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Marlins
65-77 Rating 1464
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 295 244
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.9 4.3
Last meeting 4 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 142 142
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.0
Win percentage 58% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 44%