Final Score: Royals 2 - Guardians 3
Thursday, September 11, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET

Royals @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Royals
74-72 Rating 1490
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.4
Guardians
74-71 Rating 1510
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Royals Guardians
All-time wins 378 432
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Royals Guardians
Games played 146 145
Avg runs scored 3.8 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.2
Win percentage 51% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 52%