Final Score: Mets 4 - Phillies 6
Thursday, September 11, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET
Mets @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 494 | 476 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 11 |
| Stat | Mets | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 146 | 146 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 68% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 14
3-11
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 17
12-5
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
vs Miami Marlins
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
Phillies
vs New York Mets
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 14
11-3
vs New York Mets
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
vs New York Mets
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 4, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 18
10-8
vs Atlanta Braves
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3