Final Score: Phillies 8 - Diamondbacks 2
Friday, September 19, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET

Phillies @ Diamondbacks

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
91-62 Rating 1564
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Diamondbacks
77-76 Rating 1514
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
All-time wins 91 94
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.7
Last meeting 9 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Diamondbacks
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.9 5.0
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.8
Win percentage 59% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 53%