Final Score: Padres 2 - Red Sox 5
Friday, April 3, 2026 at 2:10 PM ET

Padres @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
2-4 Rating 1532
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.1
Red Sox
1-5 Rating 1516
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Red Sox
All-time wins 12 18
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.3 4.2
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Red Sox
Games played 6 6
Avg runs scored 3.2 2.8
Avg runs conceded 4.3 5.3
Win percentage 33% 17%
Away win % / Home win % - -