Final Score: Red Sox 1 - Astros 8
Monday, March 30, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Red Sox @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
1-2 Rating 1521
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.3
Astros
2-2 Rating 1524
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Astros
All-time wins 53 50
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.0 4.9
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Astros
Games played 3 4
Avg runs scored 3.3 5.5
Avg runs conceded 3.0 6.2
Win percentage 33% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 50%