Final Score: Pirates 8 - Reds 3
Wednesday, April 1, 2026 at 12:40 PM ET
Pirates @ Reds
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Pirates | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 390 | 434 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Last meeting | 8 | 3 |
| Stat | Pirates | Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 5 | 5 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.6 | 3.6 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 40% | 60% |
Recent Results
Pirates
@ Cincinnati Reds
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ New York Mets
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ New York Mets
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ New York Mets
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 18
7-11
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 12
9-3
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Cincinnati Reds
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Reds
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Boston Red Sox
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Boston Red Sox
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Oct 1, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 30, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 15
5-10
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1