Final Score: Cardinals 7 - Nationals 6
Tuesday, April 7, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET

Cardinals @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
5-5 Rating 1490
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.3
Nationals
4-6 Rating 1445
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Nationals
All-time wins 347 321
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.0
Last meeting 6 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Nationals
Games played 10 10
Avg runs scored 4.6 6.4
Avg runs conceded 5.5 6.5
Win percentage 50% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 25% 25%