Final Score: Yankees 3 - Rays 5
Friday, April 10, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
8-4 Rating 1554
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.4
Rays
5-7 Rating 1495
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Rays
All-time wins 274 207
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.8 4.1
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Rays
Games played 12 12
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 2.4 5.8
Win percentage 67% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 83% 33%