Final Score: Marlins 7 - Yankees 9
Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
5-2 Rating 1486
Form: WLWWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +1.0
Yankees
6-1 Rating 1559
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Yankees
All-time wins 25 25
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.3
Last meeting 2 8

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Yankees
Games played 7 7
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.6
Avg runs conceded 3.7 1.1
Win percentage 71% 86%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%