Final Score: Mets 0 - Marlins 4
Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:10 PM ET
Mets @ Marlins
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mets | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 291 | 247 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.6 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 0 |
| Stat | Mets | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 161 | 161 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.4 | 5.0 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 46% |
Recent Results
Mets
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 13
3-10
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Washington Nationals
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6
vs San Diego Padres
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs San Diego Padres
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
Marlins
vs New York Mets
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs New York Mets
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 12
1-11
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
@ Colorado Rockies
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4