Final Score: Marlins 6 - Rangers 4
Friday, September 19, 2025 at 8:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Rangers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
73-80 Rating 1473
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Texas Rangers +0.6
Rangers
79-74 Rating 1508
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Rangers
All-time wins 12 19
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.0 5.9
Last meeting 0 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Rangers
Games played 153 153
Avg runs scored 4.4 4.3
Avg runs conceded 5.0 3.7
Win percentage 48% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 63%