Final Score: Rangers 5 - Astros 6
Tuesday, September 16, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET
Rangers @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Rangers | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 150 | 147 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 6 |
| Stat | Rangers | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 151 | 151 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 52% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 42% | 58% |
Recent Results
Rangers
@ Houston Astros
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ New York Mets
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ New York Mets
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New York Mets
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Houston Astros
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Houston Astros
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -11 · Total: 11
0-11
vs Houston Astros
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Astros
vs Texas Rangers
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Atlanta Braves
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 14
11-3
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 11
11-0
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4