Final Score: Astros 11 - Braves 3
Friday, September 12, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET
Astros @ Braves
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Astros | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 293 | 322 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 5 |
| Stat | Astros | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 147 | 146 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 45% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 49% |
Recent Results
Astros
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 6
0-6
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 11
11-0
@ Texas Rangers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs New York Yankees
Sep 4, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
vs New York Yankees
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs New York Yankees
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
Braves
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 10, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 9, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Chicago Cubs
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -16 · Total: 20
2-18
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 6, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Seattle Mariners
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Chicago Cubs
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1