Final Score: Astros 3 - Rangers 4
Friday, September 5, 2025 at 8:05 PM ET

Astros @ Rangers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
77-64 Rating 1533
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.1
Rangers
72-69 Rating 1502
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Rangers
All-time wins 145 148
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.8
Last meeting 1 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Rangers
Games played 141 141
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.7
Win percentage 55% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 61%