Final Score: Marlins 6 - Rockies 5
Tuesday, September 16, 2025 at 8:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Rockies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
70-80 Rating 1468
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Miami Marlins +0.7
Rockies
41-109 Rating 1378
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Rockies
All-time wins 124 116
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 5.0 5.0
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Rockies
Games played 150 150
Avg runs scored 4.4 3.7
Avg runs conceded 5.0 6.4
Win percentage 47% 27%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 31%