Final Score: Yankees 4 - Rays 5
Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 6:10 PM ET
Yankees @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 274 | 208 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 5 |
| Stat | Yankees | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 13 | 13 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 2.6 | 5.5 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 71% | 50% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Athletics
Apr 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Athletics
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Athletics
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Miami Marlins
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
vs Miami Marlins
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 16
9-7
vs Miami Marlins
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Seattle Mariners
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Seattle Mariners
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
Rays
vs New York Yankees
Apr 10, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
vs Chicago Cubs
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 14
4-10
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Apr 1, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2