Final Score: Cubs 9 - Rays 2
Tuesday, April 7, 2026 at 6:40 PM ET

Cubs @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
4-6 Rating 1520
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.0
Rays
5-5 Rating 1499
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Rays
All-time wins 11 15
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 3.3 3.9
Last meeting 4 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Rays
Games played 10 10
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.4
Win percentage 40% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 25% 100%