Final Score: Reds 1 - Rays 6
Wednesday, April 22, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET
Reds @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Reds | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 20 | 9 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average runs | 5.1 | 3.8 |
| Last meeting | 12 | 6 |
| Stat | Reds | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 24 | 23 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.0 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 83% | 50% |
Recent Results
Reds
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 18
12-6
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Minnesota Twins
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 16, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs San Francisco Giants
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Los Angeles Angels
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 15
6-9
vs Los Angeles Angels
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
Rays
vs Cincinnati Reds
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 18
6-12
vs Cincinnati Reds
Apr 20, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 18, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
Apr 17, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 13
8-5
vs New York Yankees
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs New York Yankees
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4