Final Score: Reds 3 - Cubs 8
Thursday, May 7, 2026 at 2:20 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
20-17 Rating 1501
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.8
Cubs
25-12 Rating 1548
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 414 385
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.6 4.7
Last meeting 6 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 37 37
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.4
Avg runs conceded 4.8 4.2
Win percentage 54% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 77%